Senin, 24 Maret 2014

[B568.Ebook] PDF Download Bayesian Networks for Probabilistic Inference and Decision Analysis in Forensic Science (Statistics in Practice), by Franco Taroni, Alex B

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Bayesian Networks for Probabilistic Inference and Decision Analysis in Forensic Science (Statistics in Practice), by Franco Taroni, Alex B

"This book should have a place on the bookshelf of every forensic scientist who cares about the science of evidence interpretation"
Dr. Ian Evett, Principal Forensic Services Ltd, London, UK

Continuing developments in science and technology mean that the amounts of information forensic scientists are able to provide for criminal investigations is ever increasing.�
The commensurate increase in complexity creates difficulties for scientists and lawyers with regard to evaluation and interpretation, notably with respect to issues of inference and decision.
Probability theory, implemented through graphical methods, and specifically Bayesian networks, provides powerful methods to deal with this complexity. Extensions of these methods to elements
of decision theory provide further support and assistance to the judicial system.

Bayesian Networks for Probabilistic Inference and Decision Analysis in Forensic Science provides a unique and comprehensive introduction to the use of Bayesian decision networks for the evaluation and interpretation of scientific findings in forensic science, and for the support of decision-makers in their scientific and legal tasks.

•�Includes self-contained introductions to probability and decision theory.
•�Develops the characteristics of Bayesian networks, object-oriented Bayesian networks and their extension to decision models.
•�Features implementation of the methodology with reference to commercial and academically available software.
•�Presents standard networks and their extensions that can be easily implemented and that can assist in the reader’s own analysis of real cases.
•�Provides a technique for structuring problems and organizing data based on methods and principles of scientific reasoning.
•�Contains a method for the construction of coherent and defensible arguments for the analysis and evaluation of scientific findings and for decisions based on them.
•�Is written in a lucid style, suitable for forensic scientists and lawyers with minimal mathematical background.
•�Includes a foreword by Ian Evett.

The clear and accessible style of this second edition makes this book ideal for all forensic scientists, applied statisticians and graduate students wishing to evaluate forensic findings from the perspective of probability and decision analysis. It will also appeal to lawyers and other scientists and professionals interested in the evaluation and interpretation of forensic findings, including decision making based on scientific information.

  • Sales Rank: #2575646 in Books
  • Published on: 2014-09-22
  • Original language: English
  • Number of items: 1
  • Dimensions: 9.90" h x 1.12" w x 7.00" l,
  • Binding: Hardcover
  • 472 pages

From the Back Cover

‘This book should have a place on the bookshelf of every forensic scientist who cares about the science of evidence interpretation.’
--Dr. Ian Evett, Principal Forensic Services Ltd, London, UK

Continuing developments in science and technology mean that the amounts of information forensic scientists are able to provide for criminal investigations is ever increasing.� The commensurate increase in complexity creates difficulties for scientists and lawyers with regard to evaluation and interpretation, notably with respect to issues of inference and decision. Probability theory, implemented through graphical methods, and specifically Bayesian networks, provides powerful methods to deal with this complexity. Extensions of these methods to elements of decision theory provide further support and assistance to the judicial system.

Bayesian Networks for Probabilistic Inference and Decision Analysis in Forensic Science provides a unique and comprehensive introduction to the use of Bayesian decision networks for the evaluation and interpretation of scientific findings in forensic science, and for the support of decision-makers in their scientific and legal tasks.

  • Includes self-contained introductions to probability and decision theory.
  • Develops the characteristics of Bayesian networks, object-oriented Bayesian networks and their extension to decision models.
  • Features implementation of the methodology with reference to commercial and academically available software.
  • Presents standard networks and their extensions that can be easily implemented and that can assist in the reader’s own analysis of real cases.
  • Provides a technique for structuring problems and organizing data based on methods and principles of scientific reasoning.
  • Contains a method for the construction of coherent and defensible arguments for the analysis and evaluation of scientific findings and for decisions based on them.
  • Is written in a lucid style, suitable for forensic scientists and lawyers with minimal mathematical background.
  • Includes a foreword by Ian Evett.

The clear and accessible style of this second edition makes this book ideal for all forensic scientists, applied statisticians and graduate students wishing to evaluate forensic findings from the perspective of probability and decision analysis.�� It will also appeal to lawyers and other scientists and professionals interested in the evaluation and interpretation of forensic findings, including decision making based on scientific information.

Review

“The clear and accessible style of this second edition makes this book ideal for all forensic scientists, applied statisticians and graduate students wishing to evaluate forensic �findings from the perspective of probability and decision analysis. It will also appeal to lawyers and other scientists and professionals interested in the evaluation and interpretation of forensic findings, including decision making based on scientific information.”� (Zentralblatt MATH, 1 October 2014)

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Minggu, 23 Maret 2014

[I733.Ebook] Ebook Statistics, by William Hays

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Statistics, by William Hays

Statistics, by William Hays



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Statistics, by William Hays

Statistics by Hays,William. [1994,5th Edition.] Hardcover

  • Sales Rank: #809331 in Books
  • Published on: 1994-01-02
  • Original language: English
  • Number of items: 1
  • Dimensions: 9.54" h x 1.76" w x 7.65" l, 3.95 pounds
  • Binding: Hardcover
  • 1136 pages

Review
Preface. Introduction. Elementary Probability Theory. Frequency and Probability Distributions. A Discrete Random Variable: The Binomial. Central Tendency and Variability. Sampling Distributions and Point Estimation. Normal Population and Sampling Distributions. Hypothesis Testing. Inferences About Population Means. The Chi-Square and F Distributions. The General Linear Model and the Analysis of Variance. Comparisons Among Means. Factorial Designs and Higher-Order Analysis of Variance. Analysis of Variance Models II and III: Random Effects and Mixed Models. Problems in Regression and Correlation. Partial and Multiple Regression. Further Topics in Regression. The Analysis of Covariance. Analyzing Qualitative Data: Chi-Square Tests. Terms You Should Know. Practice Exercises. Exercises. Appendix A: Rules of Summation. Appendix B: The Algebra of Expectations. Appendix C: Joint Random Variables and Linear Combinations. Appendix D: Some Principles and Applications of Matrix Algebra. Appendix E: Sets and Functions. Appendix F: Tables. Appendix G: Solutions to Selected Exercises References and Suggestions for Further Reading. Glossary of Symbols. Index.

About the Author
Kim Hays teaches in the Department of Social Psychology at the University of Z?rich. As executive director of the non-profit Action for Children's Television from 1979 to 1983, she edited "TV, Science, and Kids: Teaching Our Children to Question".

Most helpful customer reviews

16 of 18 people found the following review helpful.
Invaluable reference; Not for pleasure reading
By N. Schweitzer
Hays's text is not meant for everyone; hence the mixed reviews. It was not the primary source from which I gained my knowledge of statistics; however it serves as an invaluable reference. Unlike some of the other reviewers, I had little difficulty understanding the material as Hays presented it. Some of the criticisms are points well-taken; for example a lack of annotation in the power tables at the end of the book (which are still decipherable if you know what you're looking at).
This text is for the mathematically inclined-it is not a "how-to" book, rather a "why" book that thoroughly explains the theory behind a variety of popular inferential techniques. If this is the sort of knowledge you are seeking, Hays is the book for you. If you are interested in a more "common-sense" or applied approach, perhaps you should look elsewhere.

5 of 5 people found the following review helpful.
Excellent if you are not a minor in the field anymore
By C. H. van Wijk
'Hays' is truely a classic; one of the few books that will stay close at hand as long as I work (as an applied social scientist). It did not teach me statistics, but since then the book has helped me many times to understand statistics a bit better. Don't use it as an introduction to the field. Reach for this book every time you want to know more about "why so" after you have learned "how to do".

22 of 25 people found the following review helpful.
Useful as a reference, not as a book to learn from
By Words Dance Before my Eyes in a Meaningless Procession
I agree with Van Denburg's evaluation.
I am a graduate student in Psychology, and I find the Hays text mostly illegible. His prose is dense and his explanations rely very heavily on mathematical formulae instead of real-world or logical/verbal descriptions. Furthermore, he falls into the typical "math textbook" pit of giving solutions to only the example problems that are exceptions to what one would usually encounter.
This is especially bad considering that my concentration specializes in statistical inference, and I've studied mathematics through differential equations (including linear algebra, multivariate).
Worse, Hays has a tendency to use different symbols to represent variables compared to other statistical texts (and in some cases, the rest of the world!)
Lastly, the tables that Hays has in the back of his book are not notated. He does not explain what each table represents, or what the x or y axis are. In one case, he has two entries for each lookup in the ANOVA Power of Association (omega squared) (Table XII, page 1032). Nowhere in the table does it mention what these two values are for.
It is only in one paragraph 600 pages earlier, that he explains that the two values are for alpha=0.05 and 0.01 and that n must be equal for both groups!! (page 410)
I am currently relying on several other texts to understand statistics for the social/behaviourial sciences. If you are extremely comfortable with mathematics to describe your behaviourial tests, you may find this book valuable. If you prefer a more descriptive approach, I suggest another one.

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Selasa, 11 Maret 2014

[E314.Ebook] Ebook Download Ultimate Plank Fitness: For a Strong Core, Killer Abs - and a Killer Body, by Jennifer Decurtins

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Ultimate Plank Fitness: For a Strong Core, Killer Abs - and a Killer Body, by Jennifer Decurtins

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Ultimate Plank Fitness: For a Strong Core, Killer Abs - and a Killer Body, by Jennifer Decurtins

A safe, challenging, and effective method of core conditioning, planking is one of the best ways to get fit and toned. Variations of planks are used across many fitness domains including traditional group exercise, personal training, home workouts, yoga, pilates, barre, CrossFit and more. Not only are planks perfect for crafting six-pack abs, they also target shoulders, pectorals, biceps, triceps, glutes, quads, and hamstrings. They increase the heart rate, offer calorie-busting cardio exercise, and create healthy muscle tone.

Ultimate Plank Fitness features 100 different variations of planks that can be used to customize your workout. Easily increase the difficulty of your core strengthening exercises by adding stability balls, gliders, and weights. Each exercise includes a step-by-step photo demonstration, points of performance, where to engage, along with common faults to detect ways to improve your fitness. Finally, CrossFit coach, personal trainer, and fitness instructor, Jennifer DeCurtins provides you with ten 5-minute workouts incorporating several planks that you can use to target trouble areas and build strength.

With countless variations of the exercise, ranging from traditional planks to side plank variations and planks using external weights or unstable surfaces, your entire workout can be programmed around the plank! Work your way to a healthy core with Ultimate Plank Fitness.

  • Sales Rank: #124433 in eBooks
  • Published on: 2015-02-18
  • Released on: 2015-02-18
  • Format: Kindle eBook

About the Author
Jennifer DeCurtins is a fitness instructor, personal trainer, yoga teacher and creator of the popular blog PeanutButterRunner. She also holds a 200-hour registered yoga teacher certification through Yoga Alliance and teaches hot yoga, power yoga, and vinyasa flow yoga at several studios in Charlotte, NC. Her classes often have 30-40 people in attendance and she was just named "Twitter Personality to Follow" by Charlotte Magazine in their "Best of the Best" awards. She has also served as a Lululemon Ambassador.

Most helpful customer reviews

9 of 9 people found the following review helpful.
Love it!
By KK711
This is a fabulous book for all levels. Jen walks you through each pose step by step and also offers modifications. You can do these exercises anywhere with little to no equipment. You can randomly flip to a page and spice up any workout by adding in some of the different planks. I highly recommend this book!!!

8 of 8 people found the following review helpful.
Amazing book! Easy descriptions of the different plank poses ...
By B. Bazemore
Amazing book! Easy descriptions of the different plank poses with beautiful pictures demonstrating each plank. Highly recommended for anyone wanting to tone their entire body without having to purchase a lot of equipment or go to a gym.

6 of 6 people found the following review helpful.
Ultimate plank fitness is a great book for all levels
By Karyn W Curry
Ultimate plank fitness is a great book for all levels. It walks you through every plank and is so easy to do at home or when your traveling and don't have a lot of resources. It's challenging yet can be used for the basics as well. Jen is an amazing instructor and I look forward to more from this author.

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Senin, 03 Maret 2014

[V936.Ebook] Free Ebook Introduction to Corrosion Science, by E. McCafferty

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Introduction to Corrosion Science, by E. McCafferty

This textbook is intended for a one-semester course in corrosion science at the graduate or advanced undergraduate level. The approach is that of a physical chemist or materials scientist, and the text is geared toward students of chemistry, materials science, and engineering. This textbook should also be useful to practicing corrosion engineers or materials engineers who wish to enhance their understanding of the fundamental principles of corrosion science. It is assumed that the student or reader does not have a background in electrochemistry. However, the student or reader should have taken at least an undergraduate course in materials science or physical chemistry. More material is presented in the textbook than can be covered in a one-semester course, so the book is intended for both the classroom and as a source book for further use. This book grew out of classroom lectures which the author presented between 1982 and the present while a professorial lecturer at George Washington University, Washington, DC, where he organized and taught a graduate course on “Environmental Effects on Materials.” Additional material has been provided by over 30 years of experience in corrosion research, largely at the Naval Research Laboratory, Washington, DC and also at the Bethlehem Steel Company, Bethlehem, PA and as a Robert A. Welch Postdoctoral Fellow at the University of Texas. The text emphasizes basic principles of corrosion science which underpin extensions to practice.

  • Sales Rank: #660201 in eBooks
  • Published on: 2010-07-17
  • Released on: 2010-07-17
  • Format: Kindle eBook

Review

From the reviews:

“The author does an excellent job guiding both the novice and expert corrosion scientist through the content with a clear, concise writing style. … a wide selection of problems at the end of most chapters allows students to test their understanding of the material. … While the text is definitely intended for use in a graduate or advanced undergraduate lecture course in corrosion science, the text would also make an excellent reference for anyone teaching a course in environmental science or electrochemistry.” (Lester L. Pesterfield, Journal of Chemical Education, Vol. 89, 2012)

“Introduction to corrosion science is absolutely ‘the book’ that any student of chemistry, material science and/or engineering studying corrosion science should have on their desk. It contains everything one needs to know about the fundamental principles of corrosion. … Although this textbook is primarily intended for a one-semester course in corrosion science … I find it also beneficial as a comprehensive reference book for professionals. Without a doubt, I would highly recommend it to everyone; this book is simply a ‘must have’.” (Amela Keserović, Materials and Corrosion, Vol. 63 (11), 2012)

“I also used this book for a Corrosion Engineering course. … It has the most comprehensive description of electric double-layer theory I’ve seen in any text so far. … The images and diagrams are all nicely laid out. … Since purchasing this book I’ve browsed through about three or four other corrosion texts and still like this one the best.” (Amazon.com, December, 2011)

From the Back Cover
This textbook is intended for a one-semester course in corrosion science at the graduate or advanced undergraduate level. The approach is that of a physical chemist or materials scientist, and the text is geared toward students of chemistry, materials science, and engineering. This textbook should also be useful to practicing corrosion engineers or materials engineers who wish to enhance their understanding of the fundamental principles of corrosion science. It is assumed that the student or reader does not have a background in electrochemistry. However, the student or reader should have taken at least an undergraduate course in materials science or physical chemistry. More material is presented in the textbook than can be covered in a one-semester course, so the book is intended for both the classroom and as a source book for further use. This book grew out of classroom lectures which the author presented between while a professorial lecturer at George Washington University,

About the Author
Dr. E. McCafferty conducted research in corrosion science for over thirty years at the Naval Research Laboratory. � He was also a part-time Professorial Lecturer at George Washington University.

Most helpful customer reviews

2 of 2 people found the following review helpful.
Excellent introductory text
By M�rcio
I've bought this book for a one semester undergraduate corrosion engineering course. I must say that I'm absolutely thrilled with this book! The author has a concise and enjoyable writing style which allows for hours of continuous reading.

The book covers quite well the most fundamental topics in corrosion science. I was particularly happy with the author's coverage of polarization - a topic whose importance can't be stressed enough, and which can be quite tricky for first-timers. The Wagner-Traud models are presented satisfactorily and the Tafel extrapolation is well explained. Pourbaix diagrams must be pointed out as one of the strengths of this book, since the author essentially builds one of them from scratch - applying Nernst's equation and equillibrium constants - in a very ditatic fashion.

The books also covers important topics such as pitting, crevice corrosion (with mechanisms), coatings and inhibitors. The author also describes many corrosion science techniques, among which is AC impedance, which has been very well covered.

While this book is definitely suited as an introductory textbook, I would not recommend it as a thorough reference book for professionals. Even though this might be seen as a flaw, I've still decided to give it a 5 stars.

Recommended.

1 of 1 people found the following review helpful.
Well written and understandable.
By dk
I also used this book for a Corrosion Engineering course. I initially purchased it as a supplementary text after finding the required text (Jones) difficult to understand and error-prone. It has the most comprehensive description of electric double-layer theory I've seen in any text so far. It covers thermodynamics thoroughly and has an entire chapter on Pourbaix diagrams. It appropriately makes use of chemical activity in place of concentration as in some other texts. It uses the calorie instead of Joules (possible drawback?). It has nice example problems throughout the chapters and end of chapter problems with selected answers in the back. The chapter on kinetics has proved very useful to me for both theoretical and experimental aspects in that it explains mixed potential theory well and contains tables with corrosion rate data obtained from various studies. The images and diagrams are all nicely laid out. The sections within the chapters are not numbered which forces me to page around a bit to remind myself where I am in the chapter. Since purchasing this book I've browsed through about three or four other corrosion texts and still like this one the best.

0 of 0 people found the following review helpful.
amazing
By Zlatko Stanec
just what I looked for in my scientific literature research. simple, without to much mathematical theory, useful for all who start with corrosion science

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